Perhaps the Darnell Nurse trade isn’t the salary dump everyone had thought it would be. The Oilers might really be able to recuperate assets, according to David Pagnotta.
Via The Mug NHL, Pagnotta sent out the read on Oilers Nation. He’s heard that Edmonton won’t have to unload Nurse and that they may get a good return for him.
This situation had been getting a less hopeful assessment. The debate for weeks centered around Edmonton’s needing to sacrifice anything in order to relocate him.
The contrast is stark. Jamey Baskow contended the Flyers should ignore it completely, and Jim Matheson proposed a trade for Joel Edmundson with no windfall connected.
Pagnotta’s analysis, which is optimistic, shows how the market is changing.
A scenario that had seemed blocked is now reconsidered by his remarks.
A bullish read that clashes with the swap talk
Here’s why it’s notable. Nurse carries a $9.25 million hit and is coming off a down year, with 24 points and a minus-12 at age 31. That profile usually doesn’t fetch assets.
So the idea that Edmonton could get a return, rather than attach a sweetener, is a meaningful upgrade in outcome. Flexibility and a return both, instead of just cap relief.
It would change what Stan Bowman can do next. Assets back means more ammunition to build around Connor McDavid, on top of the cap space the move frees.
The timing still has a wrinkle, though. Chris Johnston noted a $6 million bonus due this summer could push the trade until after it’s paid. The return and the timeline both shape this.
Here’s the skeptic’s note. Pagnotta’s read is rosier than others’, and insiders differ all the time. A $9.25 million defenseman off a minus-12 season landing actual assets would beat the swap-only narrative.
So take it as one bullish data point, not a settled outcome. The real return only shows up when a deal is done.
Here’s my read: if Pagnotta’s right, it’s a win for Bowman. Getting value on a pricey, declining defenseman rather than dumping him would be a strong result.
It also unlocks the rest of his summer, from the goaltending hunt to a possible scoring add up front. Nurse is the domino that frees everything.
So the Nurse market may be healthier than feared. Whether Edmonton lands genuine assets or settles for a swap is the question a finished deal will answer.
Either way, the trade is the move that opens up Edmonton’s offseason. The clock, and that bonus, just set the pace.
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